Age-Related Differences in the Accuracy of Web Query-Based Predictions of Influenza-Like Illness

BackgroundWeb queries are now widely used for modeling, nowcasting and forecasting influenza-like illness (ILI). However, given that ILI attack rates vary significantly across ages, in terms of both magnitude and timing, little is known about whether the association between ILI morbidity and ILI-related queries is comparable across different age-groups. The present study aimed to investigate features of the association between ILI morbidity and ILI-related query volume from the perspective of age.MethodsSince Google Flu Trends is unavailable in Italy, Google Trends was used to identify entry terms that correlated highly with official ILI surveillance data. All-age and age-class-specific modeling was performed by means of linear models with generalized least-square estimation. Hold-out validation was used to quantify prediction accuracy. For purposes of comparison, predictions generated by exponential smoothing were computed.ResultsFive search terms showed high correlation coefficients of > .6. In comparison with exponential smoothing, the all-age query-based model correctly predicted the peak time and yielded a higher correlation coefficient with observed ILI morbidity (.978 vs. .929). However, query-based prediction of ILI morbidity was associated with a greater error. Age-class-specific query-based models varied significantly in terms of prediction accuracy. In the 0–4 and 25–44-year age-groups, these did well and outperformed exponential smoothing predictions; in the 15–24 and ≥ 65-year age-classes, however, the query-based models were inaccurate and highly overestimated peak height. In all but one age-class, peak timing predicted by the query-based models coincided with observed timing.ConclusionsThe accuracy of web query-based models in predicting ILI morbidity rates could differ among ages. Greater age-specific detail may be useful in flu query-based studies in order to account for age-specific features of the epidemiology of ILI.     

Verbascoside down‐regulates some pro‐inflammatory signal transduction pathways by increasing the activity of tyrosine phosphatase SHP‐1 in the U937 cell line

Polyphenols are the major components of many traditional herbal remedies, which exhibit several beneficial effects including anti‐inflammation and antioxidant properties. Src homology region 2 domain‐containing phosphatase‐1 (SHP‐1) is a redox sensitive protein tyrosine phosphatase that negatively influences downstream signalling molecules, such as mitogen‐activated protein kinases, thereby inhibiting inflammatory signalling induced by lipopolysaccharide (LPS). Because a role of transforming growth factor β‐activated kinase‐1 (TAK1) in the upstream regulation of JNK molecule has been well demonstrated, we conjectured that SHP‐1 could mediate the anti‐inflammatory effect of verbascoside through the regulation of TAK‐1/JNK/AP‐1 signalling in the U937 cell line. Our results demonstrate that verbascoside increased the phosphorylation of SHP‐1, by attenuating the activation of TAK‐1/JNK/AP‐1 signalling. This leads to a reduction in the expression and activity of both COX and NOS. Moreover, SHP‐1 depletion deletes verbascoside inhibitory effects on pro‐inflammatory molecules induced by LPS. Our data confirm that SHP‐1 plays a critical role in restoring the physiological mechanisms of inducible proteins such as COX2 and iNOS, and that the down‐regulation of TAK‐1/JNK/AP‐1 signalling by targeting SHP‐1 should be considered as a new therapeutic strategy for the treatment of inflammatory diseases.     

Gliadin Induces Neutrophil Migration via Engagement of the Formyl Peptide Receptor,FPR1

Background

Gliadin, the immunogenic component within gluten and trigger of celiac disease, is known to induce the production of Interleukin-8, a potent neutrophil-activating and chemoattractant chemokine. We sought to study the involvement of neutrophils in the early immunological changes following gliadin exposure.

Methods

Utilizing immunofluorescence microscopy and flow cytometry, the redistribution of major tight junction protein, Zonula occludens (ZO)-1, and neutrophil recruitment were assessed in duodenal tissues of gliadin-gavaged C57BL/6 wild-type and Lys-GFP reporter mice, respectively. Intravital microscopy with Lys-GFP mice allowed monitoring of neutrophil recruitment in response to luminal gliadin exposure in real time. In vitro chemotaxis assays were used to study murine and human neutrophil chemotaxis to gliadin, synthetic alpha-gliadin peptides and the neutrophil chemoattractant, fMet-Leu-Phe, in the presence or absence of a specific inhibitor of the fMet-Leu-Phe receptor-1 (FPR1), cyclosporine H. An irrelevant protein, zein, served as a control.

Results

Redistribution of ZO-1 and an influx of CD11b⁺Lys6G⁺ cells in the lamina propria of the small intestine were observed upon oral gavage of gliadin. In vivo intravital microscopy revealed a slowing down of GFP⁺ cells within the vessels and influx in the mucosal tissue within 2 hours after challenge. In vitro chemotaxis assays showed that gliadin strongly induced neutrophil migration, similar to fMet-Leu-Phe. We identified thirteen synthetic gliadin peptide motifs that induced cell migration. Blocking of FPR1 completely abrogated the fMet-Leu-Phe-, gliadin- and synthetic peptide-induced migration.

Conclusions

Gliadin possesses neutrophil chemoattractant properties similar to the classical neutrophil chemoattractant, fMet-Leu-Phe, and likewise uses FPR1 in the process.     

Between Andes and Amazon: The genetic profile of the Arawak‐speaking Yanesha

The Yanesha are a Peruvian population who inhabit an environment transitional between the Andes and Amazonia. They present cultural traits characteristic of both regions, including in the language they speak: Yanesha belongs to the Arawak language family (which very likely originated in the Amazon/Orinoco lowlands), but has been strongly influenced by Quechua, the most widespread language family of the Andes. Given their location and cultural make‐up, the Yanesha make for an ideal case study for investigating language and population dynamics across the Andes‐Amazonia divide. In this study, we analyze data from high and mid‐altitude Yanesha villages, both Y chromosome (17 STRs and 16 SNPs diagnostic for assigning haplogroups) and mtDNA data (control region sequences and 3 SNPs and one INDEL diagnostic for assigning haplogroups). We uncover sex‐biased genetic trends that probably arose in different stages: first, a male‐biased gene flow from Andean regions, genetically consistent with highland Quechua‐speakers and probably dating back to Inca expansion; and second, traces of European contact consistent with Y chromosome lineages from Italy and Tyrol, in line with historically documented migrations. Most research in the history, archaeology and linguistics of South America has long been characterized by perceptions of a sharp divide between the Andes and Amazonia; our results serve as a clear case‐study confirming demographic flows across that ‘divide’. Am J Phys Anthropol 155:600–609, 2014. © 2014 The Authors. American journal of physical Anthropology published by Wiley Periodocals, Inc.     

Rolling circle amplification-based detection of human topoisomerase I activity on magnetic beads

A high-sensitivity assay has been developed for the detection of human topoisomerase I with single molecule resolution. The method uses magnetic sepharose beads to concentrate rolling circle products, produced by the amplification of DNA molecules circularized by topoisomerase I and detectable with a confocal microscope as single and discrete dots, once reacted with fluorescent probes. Each dot, corresponding to a single cleavage–religation event mediated by the enzyme, can be counted due to its high signal/noise ratio, allowing detection of 0.3 pM enzyme and representing a valid method to detect the enzyme activity in highly diluted samples.     

Hypoxia induces up-regulation of progranulin in neuroblastoma cell lines

Progranulin (PGRN) is a widely expressed multifunctional protein, involved in regulation of cell growth and cell cycle progression with a possible involvement in neurodegeneration. We looked for PGRN regulation in three different human neuroblastoma cell lines, following exposure to two different stimuli commonly associated to neurodegeneration: hypoxia and oxidative stress. For gene and protein expression analysis we carried out a quantitative RT-PCR and western blotting analysis. We show that PGRN is strongly up-regulated by hypoxia, through the mitogen-actived protein kinase (MAPK)/extracellular signal-regulated kinase (MEK) signaling cascade. PGRN is not up-regulated by H(2)O(2)-induced oxidative stress. These results suggest that PGRN in the brain could exert a protective role against hypoxic stress, one of principal risk factors involved in frontotemporal dementia pathogenesis.     

ADAM10 is the physiologically relevant, constitutive ��-secretase of the amyloid precursor protein in primary neurons

The amyloid precursor protein (APP) undergoes constitutive shedding by a protease activity called α‐secretase. This is considered an important mechanism preventing the generation of the Alzheimer's disease amyloid‐β peptide (Aβ). α‐Secretase appears to be a metalloprotease of the ADAM family, but its identity remains to be established. Using a novel α‐secretase‐cleavage site‐specific antibody, we found that RNAi‐mediated knockdown of ADAM10, but surprisingly not of ADAM9 or 17, completely suppressed APP α‐secretase cleavage in different cell lines and in primary murine neurons. Other proteases were not able to compensate for this loss of α‐cleavage. This finding was further confirmed by mass‐spectrometric detection of APP‐cleavage fragments. Surprisingly, in different cell lines, the reduction of α‐secretase cleavage was not paralleled by a corresponding increase in the Aβ‐generating β‐secretase cleavage, revealing that both proteases do not always compete for APP as a substrate. Instead, our data suggest a novel pathway for APP processing, in which ADAM10 can partially compete with γ‐secretase for the cleavage of a C‐terminal APP fragment generated by β‐secretase. We conclude that ADAM10 is the physiologically relevant, constitutive α‐secretase of APP.